Mielenkiintoinen tieto. Tuossa on aidosti mahdollisuus sille, että Yhdysvallat siirtyisi vihdoin pois kaksipuoluejärjestelmästä. Mutta ihan yhtä lailla mahdollista on, että tuossa kävisi niin kuin perussuomalaisten hajoamisessa, ja uusi puolue jää tähdenlennoksi.
Lopputuloksen kannalta, jos puolue siis toteutuisi, keskeisintä tulee olemaan se, että kuinka pitkän linjan republikaaniäänestäjät ottaisivat puolueen omakseen. Äänestävätkö edelleen puoluetta riippumatta sen poliittisesta agendasta? Vai onko poliittinen agenda sittenkin tärkeämpi?
Joka tapauksessa suurin hyötyjä tästä olisi varmasti demokraatit. Republikaanien hajaannus jakaa pitkälti vain heidän ääniään. Jokunen liukuva äänestäjä toki saattaisi siirtyä demokraattista tämän uuden puolueen taakse.
Jos tuosta syntyisi uskottava kolmas puolue, niin yksi mahdollinen seuraus voisi toki olla sekin, että myös demokraateista saattaisi jossain kohdassa irtautua joku siipi omaksi puolueekseen, mutta tämän spekulointi on kyllä liian aikaista.
Totta, ja täytyy ensin odottaa jonkin aikaa nähdäkseen, lähteekö Trump joukkoineen vai perinteisen linjan republikaanit. Enää on vaikea uskoa, että samaan puolueeseen mahtuvat. Ideologinen perusta uudelle tai muuttuvalle puolueelle on republikaanien vuosikymmeniä ja jopa 160 vuotta vanhat periaatteet. Esimerkiksi alla koottuna (College Republicans):
- A Belief in Smaller Government: To preserve the sanctity of liberty of the individual, it is our belief that government must necessarily be limited. Otherwise, the paternalism of the few would restrict the freedom of the many to decide what is best for themselves.
- Support of the Federalist System of Government: To bring power closer to the people, it is imperative we restrict the growth of a centralized federal government....States ought to have the power to determine which programs and measures would be most appropriate and fitting for them.
- Fiscal Conservatism: In keeping with our desires for the greatest individual liberty, we support policies of limited taxation and government spending.
- Strong National Defense: We believe the best way to preserve the peace and protect our national interests abroad comes through a strong national defense.
- Individual Liberties and Responsibilities: Along with individual liberties come individual responsibilities and duties. Government must act to preserve freedom, while individuals must exercise their responsibilities to preserve order.
- Tolerance, Inclusiveness, and Optimism: We believe in the right of fellow Republicans to disagree on certain matters of principle and policy. We believe in being an open and inclusive party respectful of different points of view. We are indeed a "big-tent" party that offers no "litmus tests" or barriers to entry.
I believe that the proper function of government is to do for the people those things that have to be done but cannot be done, or cannot be done as well by individuals, and that the most effective government is government closest to the people.
I believe that good government is based on the individual and that each person's ability, dignity, freedom and responsibility must be honored and recognized.
I believe that free enterprise and the encouragement of individual initiative and incentive have given this nation an economic system second to none.
I believe that sound money policy should be our goal.
I believe in equal rights, equal justice and equal opportunity for all, regardless of race, creed, age, sex or national origin. I believe that persons with disabilities should be afforded equal rights, equal justice and equal opportunity as well.
I believe we must retain those principles worth retaining, yet always be receptive to new ideas with an outlook broad enough to accommodate thoughtful change and varying points of view.
I believe that Americans value and should preserve their feeling of national strength and pride, and at the same time share with people everywhere a desire for peace and freedom and the extension of human rights throughout the world.
Finally, I believe that the Republican Party is the best vehicle for translating these ideals into positive and successful principles of government.